BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Ankeny Centennial

Class: 4A Class Rank: 7 Conference: 4A-2 Record: (9-1-0) Overall: (60-24-0) Overall Strength =  107.34

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2013 Home    W   117.12  17   7   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 10.25     -0.25  NC                  
  2 09/06/2013 Home    W   111.14  51  39   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                4.27      7.73  NC                  
  3 09/13/2013 Away    L *  86.57  30  34   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -20.30     16.30  NC                  
  4 09/20/2013 Away    L   102.33  21  41   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -4.54    -15.46  NC                  
  5 09/27/2013 Home    W    97.80  52  14   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -9.07     47.07                      
  6 10/04/2013 Away    L    92.02  10  42   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -14.85    -17.15                      
  7 10/11/2013 Away    W * 116.23  50  14   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown            9.37     26.63                      
  8 10/18/2013 Home    W    69.22  31  29   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa               -37.65     39.65                      
  9 10/25/2013 Home    W    92.81  42  17   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -14.06     39.06                      
 10 10/30/2013 Home    W    87.43  49  28   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln            -19.44     40.44                      
 11 11/04/2013 Away    L    74.91   7  44   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -31.96     -5.04                      
 12 08/29/2014 Away    W *  95.57  19  14   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -11.30     16.30                      
 13 09/05/2014 Home    W   109.11  52  13   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    2.24     36.76                      
 14 09/12/2014 Away    W   113.66  24  21   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  6.79     -3.79                      
 15 09/19/2014 Home    L   101.87  21  28   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -5.00     -2.00                      
 16 09/26/2014 Away    W   118.07  63   0   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        11.20     51.80                      
 17 10/03/2014 Home    W    90.80  52  21   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -16.07     47.07                      
 18 10/10/2014 Away    W   127.82  49   0   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     20.95     28.05                      
 19 10/17/2014 Home    L    93.79   3  28   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -13.08    -11.92                      
 20 10/24/2014 Away    W   115.97  52   6   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln              9.10     36.90                      
 21 10/29/2014 Home    L    71.14   6  34   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -35.73      7.73                      
 22 08/28/2015 Home    W *  99.03  28  16   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   -7.84     19.84  ND                  
 23 09/04/2015 Away    W   120.65  47   0   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   13.78     33.22  ND                  
 24 09/11/2015 Home    L    99.12  16  24   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 -7.75     -0.25  ND                  
 25 09/18/2015 Away    L    75.41   0  37   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -31.46     -5.54  ND                  
 26 09/25/2015 Home    W    92.53  41   0   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West       -14.34     55.34                      
 27 10/02/2015 Away    W   125.34  75  13   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      18.48     43.52                      
 28 10/09/2015 Home    W   113.27  38   0   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      6.41     31.59                      
 29 10/16/2015 Away    W   124.33  16  14   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             17.46    -15.46                      
 30 10/23/2015 Home    W   100.43  48  14   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -6.44     40.44                      
 31 10/28/2015 Home    W * 117.63  49   7   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        10.76     31.24                      
 32 11/02/2015 Home    L    81.14  10  28   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -25.73      7.73                      
 33 08/26/2016 Away    W   107.68  22  17   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston                0.81      4.19  ND                  
 34 09/02/2016 Away    W   123.66  31  18   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 16.79     -3.79  ND                  
 35 09/09/2016 Home    W   117.11  54   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   10.24     36.76  ND                  
 36 09/16/2016 Home    W   154.87  49   3   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         48.00     -2.00  ND                  
 37 09/23/2016 Away    W   130.82  65  13   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln     23.95     28.05                      
 38 09/30/2016 Home    W   115.43  63  14   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln              8.56     40.44                      
 39 10/07/2016 Away    W * 145.57  55   0   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   38.70     16.30                      
 40 10/14/2016 Home    L   106.48  17  31   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -0.39    -13.61                      
 41 10/21/2016 Away    W   117.07  62   0   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        10.20     51.80                      
 42 10/28/2016 Home    W   117.12  34  24   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 10.25     -0.25                      
 43 11/04/2016 Away    W   126.33  14  10   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             19.46    -15.46                      
 44 11/11/2016 Neutral L    98.25  17  41   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -8.62    -15.38                      
 45 08/25/2017 Home    L    94.14   8  13   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -12.73      7.73  ND                  
 46 09/01/2017 Home    W   128.12  21   0   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 21.25     -0.25  ND                  
 47 09/08/2017 Away    W    80.65  13   6   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -26.22     33.22  ND                  
 48 09/15/2017 Away    L    85.41   7  34   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -21.46     -5.54  ND                  
 49 09/22/2017 Home    W   110.27  42   7   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln      3.41     31.59                      
 50 09/29/2017 Away    W   111.97  42   0   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln              5.10     36.90                      
 51 10/06/2017 Home    W * 127.03  53  13   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   20.16     19.84                      
 52 10/13/2017 Away    W   127.02  22  19   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            20.15    -17.15                      
 53 10/20/2017 Home    W   112.53  68   7   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West         5.66     55.34                      
 54 10/27/2017 Home    W   118.37  31  21   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 11.50     -1.50                      
 55 11/03/2017 Home    W   131.68  44  14   3A   4 ( 77- 30-  0) CB Lewis Central       24.81      5.19                      
 56 11/10/2017 Neutral L    85.25   7  44   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -21.62    -15.38                      
 57 08/24/2018 Away    W   130.66  20   0   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 23.79     -3.79  ND                  
 58 08/31/2018 Home    W   139.39  41   0   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              32.53      8.47  ND                  
 59 09/07/2018 Away    W   125.80  49   7   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West          18.94     23.06  ND                  
 60 09/14/2018 Away    W   131.02  14   7   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            24.15    -17.15  ND                  
 61 09/21/2018 Home    W * 118.69  49   7   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           11.82     30.18                      
 62 09/28/2018 Home    W   129.87  31  10   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         23.00     -2.00                      
 63 10/05/2018 Away    W    94.22  49  44   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -12.65     17.65                      
 64 10/12/2018 Away    W   123.65  56   6   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   16.78     33.22                      
 65 10/19/2018 Home    W   112.53  61   0   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West         5.66     55.34                      
 66 10/26/2018 Home    L   104.87  17  21   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -2.00     -2.00                      
 67 08/30/2019 Home    W   110.12  17  14 1 4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  3.25     -0.25                      
 68 09/06/2019 Away    W   121.94  41  21   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              15.07      4.93  ND                  
 69 09/13/2019 Home    W    88.26  21  13   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West         -18.61     26.61  ND                  
 70 09/20/2019 Home    L    99.48  10  31   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -7.39    -13.61  ND                  
 71 09/27/2019 Away    W * 115.23  42   7   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown            8.37     26.63                      
 72 10/04/2019 Away    W   115.41  20  17   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          8.54     -5.54                      
 73 10/11/2019 Home    W   112.68  56  29   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge              5.81     21.19                      
 74 10/18/2019 Home    W    91.11  28   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -15.76     36.76                      
 75 10/24/2019 Away    W   104.07  63  14   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        -2.80     51.80                      
 76 11/01/2019 Home    L    97.39  28  29   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -9.47      8.47                      
 77 08/28/2020 Away    L    68.66   6  48   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -38.21     -3.79                      
 78 09/04/2020 Away    L    83.41   0  29   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -23.46     -5.54                      
 79 09/11/2020 Home    L    91.37   7  24   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -15.50     -1.50                      
 80 09/18/2020 Home    L    92.14   7  14   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -14.73      7.73                      
 81 09/25/2020 Home    W *  91.03  21  17   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -15.84     19.84                      
 82 10/09/2020 Away    L   105.33  10  27   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -1.54    -15.46                      
 83 10/23/2020 Away    W   132.86  55  14   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        25.99     15.01                      
 84 10/30/2020 Away    L    78.41   7  41   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -28.46     -5.54                      
      Averages             107.34  32.6 17.6

Best game:  154.87 = 46 point win over Pleasant Hill Southeast Polk
Worst game:  68.66 = 42 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:  18.35